Skip to main content
The Adversary Index · Q3 2026 · Published October 5, 2026

North Korea

Held at the top of Tier 1, inside the 75 to 85 boundary zone. AI adoption evidence sits under senior review for the next release.

Lead judgment. The regime directs the IT-worker program that places operatives inside foreign firms, and the program now runs with AI built into its personas and interviews.Almost certain (95 to 99) on state direction · Evidence A2 · Multinational alert on North Korean IT workers, July 31, 2026
TAI COMPOSITE · 0 TO 100
79
Tier 1Held vs Q2 2026 (79)
Next scoreJanuary 15, 2027
WatchRevenue theft turns toward a destructive effect, or the Russia partnership delivers a step-change in capability.

Eight sub-indices

Cognitive Warfare Velocity
94
OPSEC Sophistication
83
Adaptation
71
Narrative Volume
92
Sectoral Targeting
78
AI Tradecraft Adoption
48
Doctrinal Maturity
85
Operational Tempo
81

Each sub-index runs 0 to 100. Every score rests on evidence graded under the ASA Evidence Standard, Public Edition 1.2 (DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23137881).

Who runs the operations

The Reconnaissance General Bureau, the Lazarus Group and its subgroups, and the IT-worker program.

Read the scoring

The Tier 0 edition carries the full Big Four read, the trigger board, and the forecasts. Paid tiers add the actor profiles, the evidence registers, and the decision playbooks.

Free Tier 0 Edition (PDF)All 42 Adversaries

Other Big Four pages: China · Russia · Iran · About the Index

Probability language follows the Sherman Kent scale with half-open bands. Verified facts and adversary claims stay apart in every Treadstone 71 product. © 2026 Treadstone71, LLC dba Treadstone 71. TREADSTONE 71® is a registered trademark of Treadstone71, LLC.